Some Learn, Others Don't
Tim
Harford gives a quick and dirty list of actions to
tackle COVID-19: China and South Korea imposed severe curtailments, south east
Asia and India imposed slightly milder versions, Germany focussed on massive
testing and contact-tracing, Sweden focussed on herd immunity and the US?
“The response has been so diverse across
different states as to defy easy description.”
Then
there’s the issue I’ve mentioned many times: the West stubbornly refuses to
learn from the East. Harford digs into why that is the case:
“One problem they identified — which is
both pathetic and all too human — is that it is simply more convenient to learn
from countries with a shared language. There is plenty of information in the UK
about what is going on in New Zealand, the US, and Anglo-fluent Sweden.
Dispatches from South Korea or Vietnam seem to come from a different planet.”
But
having access to that info isn’t enough:
“The people in the UK government with
contacts in Hanoi and Seoul are not necessarily those with contacts in public
health and epidemiology.”
Like it
or not:
“Ideology matters, too. For some
politicians, the US is the role model to be emulated. For others, Scandinavia
is the paragon. The current British cabinet seems disinclined to learn anything
from Germany, while nobody seems to care about Vietnam.”
Worse,
some lessons don’t “translate” meaningfully to other countries. Why not?
“Each place has its own institutions,
culture and history. In most policy areas, lessons do not easily translate.
There is a limit to how much the UK really can learn from Japanese banking
regulators, or what Ethiopia can conclude from a study of German pensions. The
starting points are so far apart that the lessons are obscure.”
Everything
Harford applies to the West, except the US. The US has a whole other issue
dealing with the epidemic. Maryland Governor, Larry Hogan wrote that health experts had warned a panel of
Governors in February of the dangers:
“It was jarring, the huge contrast between
the experts’ warnings and the president’s public dismissals.”
“The president’s response to the COVID-19
crisis puts the lie to the notion that the fundamental problem with Trump and
his remaining supporters is about the left/right political divide. It’s about
the science/anti-science divide, deferring to expertise vs. defiant
know-nothing-ism as a political stance.”
In
India, we are nowhere near out of the woods, but I don’t see anything glaringly
wrong or stupid about the policies being taken at either the Center or
individual State levels. Who’d have thought that we’d see the day when the East
has coherent policies while the West runs around like headless chicken?
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