Voter Patterns
Perry Anderson calls
it “a truly distinguishing feature of Indian democracy”:
“In India alone, the poor form not just
the overwhelming majority of the electorate, but vote in larger numbers than
the better-off. Everywhere else, without exception, the ratio of electoral
participation is the reverse.”
But shouldn’t
that be the case in all poor countries? I guess it isn’t so because most poor
countries aren’t democracies!
Kimuli Kasara
and Pavithra Suryanarayan in their paper titled, “When do the Rich Vote Less
than the Poor and Why? Explaining Turnout Inequality across the World”
concluded that:
“Using survey data from a wide range of
developed and developing countries, we demonstrate that the rich turn out to
vote at higher rates than the poor where the state has the bureaucratic
capacity to tax the rich and where the political preferences of the rich and
poor diverge.”
I think the
finding is only partially correct. If the paper’s conclusion was right,
consider this: In India, only the salaried class pays any taxes. So shouldn’t
they turn out in maximum numbers at every election? But that obviously doesn’t
happen. Why? Because the poor outnumber the middle class…by huge amounts. The
politician can safely ignore the middle class and still win elections.
Demographics matter. I am surprised the paper didn’t notice that: it seems so
obvious…or was this study only based on rich countries?
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