Ending a War Ain't Easy

When I was a kid, I was blown away by the quality of (a volume of) encyclopedias that my cousin from the US gave us. Before you smirk, remember this was the pre-liberalization, pre-Internet, pre-Wikipedia era when people still put on their loin skins and went hunting for their next meal…

An event I was very interested in was World War I. And boy, did the encyclopedia had lots of information of that. The one question that never occurred to me until I read this article by Stephen Walt was the following:
“We should also ask why it was so difficult to end.”
I realized I never gave it any thought because the answer seemed obvious: the war took as long it took for one side to win conclusively. But Walt is really asking a different question: at some point long before the war ended, he says, surely different leaders on both sides must have felt that the body count was too much, that the eventual economic cost of victory would not be worth it, and that they couldn’t even be certain their side would win! So why didn’t they negotiate a settlement and end it much, much earlier?

Why indeed? Here are some of Walt’s reasons:
1)      All the sides were major industrial powers that “could lose many battles, suffer many killed and wounded men, fire tons of ammunition at each other, endure blockades, and still have the resources to continue fighting”.
2)     In order to recruit allies, each side promised them certain spoils (e.g Germany promised the Ottoman Empire slices of Russian territory; while the British promised Arab leaders independent kingdoms if they revolted against the Ottoman Empire). And to deliver those promised spoils, each side needed an outright win, not a settlement.
3)     Ironically, the longer the war had already lasted, the harder it became for any country to sell a peace settlement to its own citizens. Why? Because people would be furious that they got nothing in response to the “enormous sacrifices” they had already made.
4)     Wartime propaganda by each side meant that their citizens believed victory was just round the corner. How could they justify a draw in a winning position?
5)     The same wartime propaganda had painted the enemy as “brutal monsters guilty of vast atrocities”. How could anyone then justify negotiating with such “vicious opponents”?

Note that most of those points would apply to any war fought today as well. And so what is Walt’s takeaway for present day leaders?
“Once the dogs of war are loose, there is no telling where they will drag a country, whatever its initial intentions may have been.”
Can’t argue with that, can you?

Comments

  1. So true! So true sadly.

    We certainly live in a world of "mass-psychology traps". The traps need not be set only for full-fledged wars full of military operations. There are some in every society who whip up strong feelings in people for some cause for which they should go on warpath. Here I mean the cause could be ever so many social/political issues.

    Therefore, Indians with an open mind cannot fail to fully understand your blog on this subject. We as a nation are on warpath, for almost ever since the nation was born in 1947, with all our neighboring countries. With exaggeration nevertheless but not without a good founding on truth, I declare this: Within this nation, virtually every state is on warpath with every other. Further; every group of some identity (religion, denominations within the religion is on warpath with every group of another identity too (e.g. caste within Hinduism or sects of Christianity, Islam), language, region, rich-poor-difference, foreigner etc. etc.) divisive poison can manufactured at will by our self-seeking leaders in every region. [This is the way of our neighboring countries too, but I need not go on with details in this regard. Everyone knows the background of the subcontinent.]

    We can hope for peace only if the dime-a-dozen 'netas' stop their hate speeches with liberal sprinkling of parochial glorification. We can hope for peace if only such brainwashing are not mindlessly taken up by the not-capable-or-thinking masses in every region.

    That is when we realize how the same truth of what you say applies in lesser than contexts too: neither our leaders will change for the better, nor our masses will do better than being swayed by emotions intended, to be precise 'manufactured', to render them mental slaves of the self-centered leaders.

    What the compassionate Buddha said remains true eternally, "Never can we attain peace through hate. Never can we feel quietitude within ourselves if we keep acquiring impure ideas and remain engrossed in them. Liberation from our errors, thus freedom from our suffering, is through proper balance (equanimity). In that we do not lean towards anything extreme. Peace can never come through wars but only through caring. In caring, we cannot have bounds. There can be no peace unless we abide in the right conduct (dharma). Dharma is not something that is imposed on us by someone else, but that which we believe in fully and follow truthfully. We have to act just-fully towards others because that is the only way we can act rightly to ourselves." Who can pick any dogma or religious-threat in what the Buddha says? Can't we ourselves can see in our calm moments as the truth is what the Buddha said? Who can fight eternal wisdom and render it null and void?

    However that is not the cup of tea for any leader anywhere in the world! Many it is not the cup of tea for many ordinary people too.

    But then, just as our self-seeking leaders are a product of our societies, sincere and good leaders are also products of the society. Nothing can stop competent (i.e. in generating good governance) leaders, caring leaders, visionary leaders emerging too, if such a requirement becomes a necessity. In that lies our hope. The good thing in hope is that hope is eternal as the Buddha principle.

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