Conspiracies and Maths
David Grimes came up with an equation to evaluate “how long alleged conspiracies could "survive" before being revealed - deliberately or unwittingly”. How did he come up with the model? “The mathematical methods used in this paper were broadly similar to the mathematics I have used before in my academic research on radiation physics.” The gist of it was a predictable conclusion, as one guy summarized it: “A conspiracy's success is diminished inversely proportionate to the number of its' participants and the time of execution.” As you might have expected, the Internet had a nice discussion on this! From a Slashdot forum , here are some of the better comments. One guy pointed out: “One problem with this analysis is that it doesn't take into account *successful* conspiracies...If we are using past performance to predict future trends, shouldn't those conspiracies be counted? There's no realistic way to account for or even detect them.” Since ...